Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 15.85 | $0.500 | $14.95 | +$7.03 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.630 | $1.18 | 15h ago |
|
| No |
| 11.83 |
| $0.670 |
| $11.06 |
| +$3.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 9.66 | $0.820 | $9.36 | +$1.44 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 9.77 | $0.810 | $9.13 | +$1.22 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.68 | $0.570 | $8.97 | +$2.88 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 9.32 | $0.850 | $8.81 | +$0.89 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.78 | $0.735 | $8.77 | +$0.85 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.1 | $0.831 | $8.74 | +$0.34 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 10.13 | $0.800 | $8.2 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 26.41 | $0.300 | $7.53 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 9.21 | $0.760 | $6.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 13 | $0.470 | $6.31 | +$0.2 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.9 | +$0.86 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.44 | +$0.58 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.520 | $5.31 | -$2.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.510 | $5.14 | +$0.33 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.49 | $0.770 | $4.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.310 | $3.61 | +$1.39 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 10.39 | $0.770 | $2.44 | -$5.56 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 1.87 | $0.630 | $1.09 | -$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.5 | $0.680 | $0.62 | -$0.41 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.210 | $0.41 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 1.5 |
| $0.680 |
| $1.02 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.520 | $8 | 3d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.800 | $1.81 | 18d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.270 | $8 | 22d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8 | 25d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.240 | $8 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.790 | $8 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 11.59 | $0.690 | $8 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.220 | $8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $137.5?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.770 | $7.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.460 | $6.67 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?No | buy | 15.07 | $0.540 | $8.14 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up | buy | 7.5 | $0.340 | $2.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.772 | $5.85 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.390 | $4.68 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.670 | $6.97 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.280 | $3.01 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.470 | $6.11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.470 | $4.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.940 | $8.36 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.600 | $2.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.690 | $8.05 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | buy | 13.78 | $0.590 | $8.13 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.680 | $1.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.207 | $1.26 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.831 | $8.4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.290 | $3.19 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.720 | $5.84 | May 21, 2026 |