Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.470 |
| $4.7 |
| Sep 13, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | sell | 33.49 | $0.790 | $26.46 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.901 | $5.6 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 9.81 | $0.510 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.400 | $2.56 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | sell | 2.51 | $0.999 | $2.51 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.991 | $3.96 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Washington" or "DC" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | sell | 2.86 | $0.999 | $2.86 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 5+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.990 | $6.82 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 33.49 | $0.750 | $25.12 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.600 | $2.41 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.540 | $1.54 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Natural Gas" or "Nord Stream" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 6.55 | $0.400 | $2.62 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.670 | $2.52 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.870 | $2.51 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Washington" or "DC" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.840 | $2.41 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.968 | $2.43 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.600 | $2.4 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Trade" or "Tariff" 2+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.750 | $2.3 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 5+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.920 | $5.71 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 16.35 | $0.994 | $16.25 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fentanyl" this week? (August 25 - 31)Yes | sell | 4.36 | $0.320 | $1.4 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?Yes | sell | 242.38 | $0.152 | $36.82 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?Yes | buy | 295.65 | $0.230 | $68 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | sell | 4.47 | $0.991 | $4.43 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | sell | 3.89 | $0.991 | $3.85 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Truck" or "SUV" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.930 | $3.86 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.991 | $7.31 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Superstar" or "Television" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | buy | 8.06 | $0.310 | $2.5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nasty" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | buy | 6.59 | $0.340 | $2.24 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | buy | 7.31 | $0.290 | $2.12 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | buy | 6.61 | $0.380 | $2.51 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" this week? (August 25 - 31)Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.580 | $2.53 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.490 | $2.41 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Washington" or "DC" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.410 | $2.1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.240 | $2.51 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.680 | $5.52 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Washington" or "DC" during events with South Korean president on August 25?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.470 | $2.61 | Aug 20, 2025 |