Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.1 |
| $0.999 |
| $6.09 |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.999 | $7.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.999 | $19.11 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 18.97 | $0.999 | $18.95 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.997 | $21.05 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 16.76 | $0.997 | $16.71 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 16.77 | $0.994 | $16.67 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 15.42 | $0.999 | $15.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.998 | $19.74 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.999 | $12.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.999 | $19.69 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.997 | $15.98 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 16.15 | $0.969 | $15.65 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.46 | $0.996 | $18.39 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No | buy | 19.7 | $0.999 | $19.68 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.997 | $20.35 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 8.94 | $0.999 | $8.93 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.980 | $2.06 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.987 | $1.81 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.996 | $4.44 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.999 | $2.1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.840 | $7.28 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.45 | $0.067 | $2.71 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.740 | $15.29 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.955 | $5.78 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 20.67 | $0.780 | $16.12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 605.08 | $0.208 | $125.73 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 134 | $0.996 | $133.46 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 134 | $0.997 | $133.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 132.52 | $0.988 | $130.93 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 126.98 | $0.995 | $126.35 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 126.99 | $0.996 | $126.48 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 127.96 | $0.995 | $127.32 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 127.96 | $0.996 | $127.45 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13?No | buy | 16.8 | $0.999 | $16.78 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 146.73 | $0.994 | $145.85 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 146.73 | $0.995 | $146 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 145.73 | $0.993 | $144.71 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 145.74 | $0.995 | $145.01 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 121.41 | $0.991 | $120.32 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.998 | $2.98 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 121.42 | $0.993 | $120.57 | May 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 14.31 | $0.999 | $14.3 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 134.93 | $0.997 | $134.53 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 134.94 | $0.998 | $134.67 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 116.21 | $0.997 | $115.86 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 23?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.975 | $4.26 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 116.21 | $0.998 | $115.98 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.998 | $5.84 | May 20, 2025 |