Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 147.32 | $0.993 | $146.29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 147.32 |
| $0.994 |
| $146.44 |
| May 29, 2026 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 148.83 | $0.993 | $147.79 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 148.83 | $0.994 | $147.94 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 149.13 | $0.993 | $148.09 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 149.14 | $0.994 | $148.25 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 139.88 | $0.993 | $138.9 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 139.88 | $0.994 | $139.04 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 148.5 | $0.994 | $147.61 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 148.5 | $0.995 | $147.76 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 122.94 | $0.993 | $122.08 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 122.94 | $0.994 | $122.2 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 145.45 | $0.992 | $144.29 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 145.45 | $0.993 | $144.43 | May 20, 2026 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 153.07 | $0.980 | $150.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 151.68 | $0.989 | $150.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 151.54 | $0.990 | $150.02 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 154.34 | $0.972 | $150.02 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 154.35 | $0.973 | $150.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 156.27 | $0.961 | $150.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 156.28 | $0.962 | $150.34 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 150.95 | $0.996 | $150.35 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 150.95 | $0.997 | $150.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 150.95 | $0.997 | $150.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 151.1 | $0.996 | $150.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 151.1 | $0.996 | $150.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 151.1 | $0.996 | $150.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 151.25 | $0.995 | $150.49 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 147.26 | $0.988 | $145.49 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 147.27 | $0.989 | $145.65 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 147.28 | $0.991 | $146 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 140 | $0.992 | $138.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.999 | $20.88 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or higher on January 29?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.996 | $20.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?No | buy | 20.8 | $0.998 | $20.76 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.997 | $77.77 | Dec 30, 2025 |