Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 550.2 |
| $0.091 |
| $50.07 |
| May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 638.59 | $0.153 | $98 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 318.18 | $0.220 | $70 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 461.83 | $0.065 | $30 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 703.68 | $0.568 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.63K | $0.396 | $1.44K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 578.04 | $0.520 | $300.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 522.23 | $0.267 | $139.42 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.58 | $0.477 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 869.57 | $0.230 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16K | $0.078 | $324.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.260 | $400 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.16K | $0.096 | $400 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 366.45 | $0.610 | $223.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 657.37 | $0.090 | $59.16 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.037 | $11.59 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.38K | $0.060 | $202.65 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38K | $0.074 | $249.88 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 657.37 | $0.270 | $177.49 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14K | $0.120 | $377.49 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 968.54 | $0.350 | $338.99 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.05 | $0.093 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 930.23 | $0.430 | $400 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.200 | $800 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.36 | $0.325 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 187.86 | $0.213 | $40 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.340 | $200 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 433.82 | $0.340 | $147.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.062 | $80 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 242.52 | $0.165 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.260 | $80 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 305.39 | $0.016 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 279.72 | $0.143 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.050 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.230 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 610.39 | $0.164 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |