Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Breaking News" in January?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.49 |
| $0.670 |
| $1 |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Israel" this week? (December 22 - 28)No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.910 | $1.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.319 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.899 | $0.31 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.738 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.712 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.490 | $0.74 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.060 | $0.26 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "TikTok" this week?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" this week?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.530 | $0.75 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.068 | $0.12 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.991 | $2.33 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Sanction" during his NATO speech?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peace through strength" during his NATO speech?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear weapon" during his NATO speech?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.424 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 24?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US strike on Iran on June 23?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Williams vs. MedicWilliams | sell | 1.88 | $0.490 | $0.92 | Jun 23, 2025 |