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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 3.41K | $0.796 | $3.21K | +$491.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | 1d ago |
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.933 |
| $2.89K |
| +$93.51 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 2.11K | $0.981 | $2.1K | +$32.91 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.940 | $1.92K | +$43 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.938 | $1.14K | +$11.3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $945 | +$45 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.880 | $865 | -$15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.830 | $855 | +$25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.780 | $835 | +$55 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | No | 690.09 | $0.907 | $671.11 | +$44.9 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.639 | $582.75 | -$126.65 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 700 | $0.883 | $577.5 | -$40.5 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 499.98 | $0.967 | $494.23 | +$10.75 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 499.97 | $0.870 | $434.97 | $0 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 499.99 | $0.810 | $394.99 | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.920 | $291.15 | +$15.15 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.325 | $228.25 | +$65.75 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 300 | $0.720 | $217.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.022 | $39.75 | +$6.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.060 | $38.85 | -$87.15 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.640 |
| $320 |
| 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 620.85 | $0.951 | $590.71 | 18d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 620.85 | $0.950 | $589.81 | 18d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.640 | $326.4 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.060 | $126 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.981 | $981 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.981 | $981 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.780 | $780 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 108.87 | $0.979 | $106.58 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 20d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 300 | $0.720 | $216 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | 20d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 718.66 | $0.995 | $715.07 | 20d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.986 | $493 | 20d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 15K | $0.991 | $14.87K | 21d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 1K | $0.986 | $986.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.938 | $656.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.579 | $289.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1K | $0.968 | $968 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.934 | $21.72 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 521.61 | $0.900 | $469.45 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.5K | $0.173 | $1.12K | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.145 | $72.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.051 | $51 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 422 | $0.750 | $316.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.44K | $0.976 | $6.29K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 3K | $0.976 | $2.93K | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.295 | $294.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.282 | $282.23 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.032 | $16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.052 | $26 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.069 | $34.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.086 | $43 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.088 | $44 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.113 | $56.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.165 | $82.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.174 | $87 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.800 | $2K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 434.33 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.680 | $5.78K | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.948 | $948.31 | Mar 29, 2026 |