Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.200 | $4.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 23.53 |
| $0.170 |
| $4 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.220 | $1.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.159 | $5.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 262.04 | $0.027 | $7 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?Up | buy | 82.28 | $0.790 | $65 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | sell | 115.55 | $0.570 | $65.86 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?Down | buy | 309.49 | $0.033 | $10.19 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Metaplanet purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.350 | $2.54 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | buy | 71.11 | $0.090 | $6.4 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Privacy" during the Q2 2025 Google earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by July 25?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.520 | $5.3 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.410 | $3.5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | sell | 19.27 | $0.974 | $18.76 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.022 | $0.26 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 12.75 | $0.520 | $6.63 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.520 | $2.1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.520 | $4.2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.392 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 New X CEO announced by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 29.77 | $0.168 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 19.28 | $0.607 | $11.7 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.290 | $7.25 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" this week?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.458 | $6.59 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.510 | $2.83 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?No | sell | 20.93 | $0.996 | $20.85 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" this week?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.180 | $2.59 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" this week?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Genius" this week?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high before August?Yes | sell | 10.7 | $0.710 | $7.6 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 56.56 | $0.090 | $5.09 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 39.13 | $0.130 | $5.09 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.080 | $1.72 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.320 | $6.7 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high before August?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.570 | $6.1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 39.13 | $0.230 | $9 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | buy | 80.08 | $0.125 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on June 28?Up | sell | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on June 28?Up | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?Up | sell | 5.12 | $0.830 | $4.25 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?Up | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the next James Bond be British?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Iran / Israel" 15+ times during his NATO speech?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.437 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |