Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 243.9 | $0.820 | $239.39 | +$39.39 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 216.9 |
| $0.922 |
| $200.31 |
| +$0.31 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 212.77 | $0.940 | $198.94 | -$1.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 155.6 | $0.964 | $149.61 | -$0.39 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 151.25 | $0.926 | $141.42 | +$1.42 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 149.97 | $0.933 | $140.22 | +$0.22 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 137.12 | $0.948 | $125.47 | -$4.53 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | No | 114.85 | $0.871 | $114.44 | +$14.44 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $99.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 58.24 | $0.944 | $55.33 | +$0.33 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 57.47 | $0.870 | $52.01 | +$2.01 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 52.91 | $0.945 | $51.38 | +$1.38 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 52.8 | $0.947 | $50.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 52.61 | $0.950 | $50.25 | +$0.25 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 51.97 | $0.962 | $49.97 | -$0.03 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 52.19 | $0.958 | $49.87 | -$0.13 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | No | 45.98 | $0.870 | $42.53 | +$2.53 |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 42.55 | $0.940 | $39.79 | -$0.21 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 41.1 | $0.730 | $32.05 | +$2.05 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 32.26 | $0.930 | $31.48 | +$1.48 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 31.12 | $0.964 | $30.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | $0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.900 | $29.83 | -$0.17 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | No | 27.2 | $0.919 | $25.3 | +$0.3 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25.18 | +$0.18 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $10 |
| 3d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | 3d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.853 | $20 | 3d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | 3d ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 23.88 | $0.838 | $20 | 3d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 3d ago |
| What will be the next Fed rate change?Hike | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | 9d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 28.52 | $0.876 | $25 | 9d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | 9d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No | buy | 27.2 | $0.919 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | 20d ago |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | 21d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | 21d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.966 | $12.54 | 22d ago |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 42.44 | $0.942 | $40 | 27d ago |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.97 | $0.962 | $50 | 27d ago |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | 27d ago |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 31.12 | $0.964 | $30 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 52.91 | $0.945 | $50 | 27d ago |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | 27d ago |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.929 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | 27d ago |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 52.61 | $0.950 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 58.24 | $0.944 | $55 | 27d ago |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.975 | $50 | 29d ago |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?No | buy | 26.23 | $0.953 | $25 | 29d ago |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | 29d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?No | buy | 51.3 | $0.975 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 52.8 | $0.947 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 85.91 | $0.931 | $80 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?No | buy | 62.37 | $0.962 | $60 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4?No | sell | 249.94 | $0.999 | $249.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?No | sell | 328.38 | $0.999 | $328.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4?No | sell | 104.16 | $0.999 | $104.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4?No | sell | 125.27 | $0.999 | $125.14 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?No | buy | 107.43 | $0.465 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |