Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 111.34 |
| $0.013 |
| $1.45 |
| Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 257.44 | $0.012 | $3.09 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.040 | $0.19 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.032 | $0.21 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.034 | $0.19 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.130 | $0.67 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 30.61 | $0.033 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.650 | $1.25 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.600 | $1.5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.360 | $0.82 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes | sell | 13.44 | $0.050 | $0.67 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.680 | $2.3 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.014 | $0.04 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 33.23 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.720 | $3.74 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.17 | $0.640 | $2.03 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 18.74 | $0.053 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 19.06 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.111 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.770 | $4.05 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 10 | $0.101 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon register the America Party before October?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.770 | $3.2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 2 | $0.600 | $1.2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |