Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.840 | $42.75 | +$0.75 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.245 | $4.9 | 3d ago |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.700 |
| $20.55 |
| -$0.45 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.830 | $18.9 | +$2.3 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.580 | $14.4 | +$2.8 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.880 | $9.55 | +$0.75 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.910 | $9.25 | +$0.15 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.900 | $9.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.650 | $7.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.225 | $4.15 | -$0.35 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.245 | $3.57 | -$1.33 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.580 |
| $11.6 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.225 | $4.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 3d ago |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | 3d ago |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 3d ago |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 3d ago |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 3d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.989 | $19.77 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.931 | $18.61 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.580 | $4.75 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.673 | $4.95 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.046 | $2.59 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 27?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.710 | $4.93 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.070 | $2.63 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.700 | $4.86 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.680 | $4.92 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 27?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.640 | $4.92 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.640 | $4.92 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.600 | $4.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.600 | $4.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.650 | $4.92 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.115 | $3.78 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.500 | $2.56 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.036 | $0.72 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.430 | $2.26 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.588 | $2.94 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.073 | $3.63 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.430 | $3.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 31.24 | $0.100 | $3.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jun 26, 2026 |