Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 210.26 | $0.949 | $201.95 | +$2.42 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 41.22 | $0.989 | $40.77 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.983 |
| $39.32 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.988 | $59.28 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.976 | $48.8 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 612.02 | $0.981 | $600.39 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?No | buy | 199 | $0.999 | $198.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 402 | $0.998 | $401.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 700 | $0.997 | $697.9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | buy | 32.09 | $0.999 | $32.06 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?No | sell | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 340.31 | $0.997 | $339.29 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 340.31 | $0.999 | $339.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 60.37 | $0.980 | $59.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.975 | $56.55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?No | buy | 17.34 | $0.990 | $17.17 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 75.21 | $0.986 | $74.16 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.904 | $45.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Sherrone Moore charged in 2025?No | sell | 9.78 | $0.040 | $0.39 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Sherrone Moore charged in 2025?No | sell | 6.47 | $0.060 | $0.39 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.875 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 98.13 | $0.940 | $92.24 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12.54 | $0.981 | $12.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.996 | $12.49 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 14.4 | $0.999 | $14.39 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 18, 2025 |