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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 766.31 | $0.843 | $701.17 | +$55.12 |
Databricks IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "Discord" in September?No | buy | 186.95 | $0.804 | $150.23 | 14h ago |
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| No |
| 371.09 |
| $0.843 |
| $352.54 |
| +$39.75 |
Will Trump say "Discord" in September? | No | 186.95 | $0.803 | $163.58 | +$13.35 |
| buy |
| 207.44 |
| $0.520 |
| $107.87 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Democrat" during his Executive Order signing?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.680 | $71.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 294.72 | $0.300 | $88.42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.810 | $28.58 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 154.29 | $0.828 | $127.79 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 182.73 | $0.825 | $150.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes | sell | 616.64 | $0.739 | $455.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 394 | $0.860 | $338.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?No | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07K | $0.207 | $427.3 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.219 | $322.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No | buy | 162.36 | $0.638 | $103.59 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.86 | $0.943 | $116.8 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 366.06 | $0.949 | $347.23 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 725.4 | $0.947 | $686.94 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 840.22 | $0.949 | $797.59 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 959.73 | $0.947 | $908.65 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes | sell | 539.79 | $0.620 | $334.67 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.3 | $0.910 | $38.48 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.904 | $47 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 509 | $0.890 | $453.01 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 517.68 | $0.690 | $357.2 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | buy | 43.7 | $0.947 | $41.38 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 405.37 | $0.940 | $381.05 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No | buy | 186.12 | $0.948 | $176.5 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | buy | 87.77 | $0.949 | $83.27 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.933 | $42.41 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?No | buy | 70.95 | $0.772 | $54.78 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?No | buy | 107.63 | $0.946 | $101.77 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | buy | 99.8 | $0.946 | $94.45 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?No | buy | 72 | $0.754 | $54.32 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?No | sell | 148.35 | $0.600 | $89.01 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.170 | $7.14 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 762.43 | $0.610 | $465.08 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 584.73 | $0.380 | $222.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 117 | $0.450 | $52.65 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 500 | $0.420 | $210 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 190.32 | $0.428 | $81.47 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (April 19)Yes | sell | 456.86 | $0.744 | $339.83 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.815 | $17.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 531.25 | $0.996 | $529.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Yes | buy | 658.25 | $0.210 | $138.52 | Apr 7, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 500 | $0.730 | $365 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Trump name "Kamala" in April?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.800 | $828.19 | Apr 4, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Apr 3, 2026 |