Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 71.02 | $0.211 | $17.29 | +$2.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.62 |
| $0.960 |
| $15.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 220.39 | $0.181 | $15.1 | -$24.9 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 59.65 | $0.168 | $9.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.79 | $0.443 | $7.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 239.32 | $0.180 | $7.3 | -$35.7 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.16 | $0.135 | $7 | +$2 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.028 | $6.16 | +$1.16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 67.87 | $0.103 | $5.94 | -$1.06 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15.43 | $0.324 | $5.78 | +$0.78 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5.58 | +$0.57 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4.63 | $0.864 | $4.49 | +$0.49 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 4.62 | $0.650 | $4.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30.15 | $0.199 | $4.36 | -$1.64 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $3.93 | -$1.07 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 30.88 | $0.486 | $2.01 | -$12.99 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 95.07 | $0.032 | $1.85 | -$1.15 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 256.41 | $0.039 | $1.67 | -$8.33 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $0.99 | -$9.01 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 6.82 | $0.440 | $0.95 | -$2.05 |
| buy |
| 181.82 |
| $0.011 |
| $2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.739 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.735 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.975 | $1.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 43.9 | $0.930 | $40.83 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 30.15 | $0.199 | $6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.324 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.339 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 11.6 | $0.431 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.45 | $0.592 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.410 | $11.39 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | buy | 7.65 | $0.646 | $4.94 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.115 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.196 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.279 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4.51 | $0.443 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.587 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.587 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |