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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Biden resign before inauguration?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.059 | $0.78 | Nov 19, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.78 |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 93.74 | $0.800 | $74.99 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.380 | $19.79 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 134.73 | $0.800 | $107.78 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 113.93 | $0.946 | $107.78 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 77.16 | $0.800 | $61.73 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 182.05 | $0.120 | $21.85 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 136.6 | $0.146 | $20 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 113.93 | $0.953 | $108.58 | Nov 9, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 617.28 | $0.081 | $50 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.168 | $0.65 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will another movie gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Nov 7, 2024 |
U.S. military action against Iran before November?Yes | buy | 20.78 | $0.096 | $2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.975 | $2.01 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 167.95 | $0.508 | $85.32 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | sell | 193.91 | $0.440 | $85.32 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.550 | $4.8 | Aug 20, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.64 | $0.485 | $10 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.472 | $40 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Gabriel Attal next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 119.82 | $0.167 | $20 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Aug 18, 2024 |
Gabriel Attal next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.083 | $10 | Aug 18, 2024 |
US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?Yes | buy | 194.8 | $0.750 | $146.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 9.14 | $0.250 | $2.29 | Aug 13, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.069 | $3.83 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.456 | $4.56 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Another Ensemble member next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 29.67 | $0.092 | $2.73 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will France recognize Palestine before September?No | sell | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Aug 13, 2024 |
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | sell | 12.95 | $0.460 | $5.96 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?No | sell | 16.04 | $0.936 | $15.01 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?No | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | sell | 350.22 | $0.172 | $60.34 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | buy | 350.22 | $0.200 | $70.04 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | sell | 25.42 | $0.870 | $22.12 | Aug 13, 2024 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 30 | $0.931 | $27.93 | Aug 13, 2024 |