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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.890 | $0.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 4.54 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.68 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8B?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.89 | $0.011 | $0.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.070 | $0.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.060 | $0.22 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.012 | $0.06 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.015 | $0.54 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.014 | $0.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.060 | $0.15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.65B?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.080 | $0.11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?No | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.008 | $0.15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $2B?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.090 | $0.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.6B?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.090 | $0.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.110 | $0.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.777 | $0.89 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.720 | $0.82 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $1.8B?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.580 | $0.61 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.090 | $0.19 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.280 | $0.59 | Jul 20, 2026 |
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.471 | $0.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.090 | $0.75 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.234 | $0.76 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.541 | $0.63 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.023 | $0.79 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Amphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 28%-32%?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.380 | $0.84 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.740 | $0.86 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.84 | $0.030 | $0.81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.156 | $0.85 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.820 | $0.93 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $58B?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.770 | $0.92 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.850 | $0.96 | Jul 20, 2026 |
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.851 | $0.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.850 | $0.92 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.121 | $0.58 | Jul 20, 2026 |
FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.303 | $0.91 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.920 | $0.97 | Jul 20, 2026 |
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.844 | $0.97 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.077 | $1.08 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.850 | $1.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.390 | $1.44 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.720 | $1.65 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.850 | $1.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.280 | $1.93 | Jul 20, 2026 |
FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.810 | $1.81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?Yes | sell | 3.89 | $0.390 | $1.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |