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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 244.17 | $0.660 | $172.14 | +$10.99 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 672.61 | $0.702 | $471.98 | 13d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.040 |
| $19.6 |
| +$11.6 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.2K | $0.027 | $16.5 | -$43 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.030 | $0.5 | -$30 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 238.82 | $0.042 | $0.12 | -$9.88 |
| sell |
| 1.53K |
| $0.460 |
| $703.8 |
| 13d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 123.84 | $0.510 | $63.16 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.871 | $130.69 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.590 | $53.1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?No | sell | 52.76 | $0.988 | $52.13 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.42 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 58.24 | $0.170 | $9.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.830 | $165.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.710 | $141.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.490 | $245 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 37.86 | $0.254 | $9.62 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 37.26 | $0.520 | $19.38 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 896.91 | $0.730 | $654.63 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.780 | $860.25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.957 | $191.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.930 | $75 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 182.83 | $0.530 | $96.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?Down | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8AM ETUp | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 103.08 | $0.470 | $48.45 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?Down | sell | 200 | $0.292 | $58.34 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.260 | $33.8 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?No | sell | 100.99 | $0.627 | $63.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 62.44 | $0.140 | $8.74 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.032 | $19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.520 | $312 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?No | sell | 700 | $0.004 | $2.8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?No | buy | 1K | $0.027 | $27 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 159.5 | $0.260 | $41.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.068 | $13.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | sell | 730.29 | $0.745 | $544.31 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.021 | $21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 469.93 | $0.060 | $28.2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?Yes | buy | 387.14 | $0.026 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?No | buy | 100 | $0.973 | $97.3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 162.92 | $0.981 | $159.82 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 289.94 | $0.981 | $284.43 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 289.94 | $0.958 | $277.76 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 534.15 | $0.520 | $277.76 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 534.15 | $0.530 | $283.1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 296.13 | $0.956 | $283.1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 296.13 | $0.953 | $282.21 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 83.26 | $0.999 | $83.18 | Oct 29, 2025 |