Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.910 | $53.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 58.82 |
| $0.850 |
| $50 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 237.21 | $0.422 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.312 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 201.77 | $0.991 | $200 | May 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 78.12 | $0.790 | $61.71 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 61.72 | $0.860 | $53.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.810 | $98.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 41.28 | $0.969 | $40 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 51.94 | $0.967 | $50.23 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.988 | $27.44 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.770 | $32.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.995 | $81.55 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 52.17 | $0.608 | $31.74 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.380 | $42.22 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 52.17 | $0.575 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.360 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 80.64 | $0.998 | $80.48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes | sell | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.991 | $10.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.993 | $10.05 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 10.07 | $0.998 | $10.05 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 30.24 | $0.992 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?Yes | buy | 82.99 | $0.241 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.015 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.18 | $0.827 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | buy | 20.19 | $0.990 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.062 | $3.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 63.18 | $0.791 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |