Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.260 |
| $2 |
| Aug 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.999 | $8.95 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 24?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.558 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" during Merz events on June 5?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.999 | $2.69 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Polish snap election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Polish snap election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.12 | $0.295 | $8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Polish snap election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |