Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 67.7 | $0.955 | $64.25 | -$0.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.955 | $9.07 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.986 |
| $19.72 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.915 | $20.13 | May 18, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 115.7 | $0.998 | $115.47 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | sell | 17.04 | $0.990 | $16.87 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.986 | $16.81 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 36.46 | $0.998 | $36.39 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.790 | $8.69 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 44.84 | $0.979 | $43.9 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 80.44 | $0.999 | $80.36 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Base airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 37.16 | $0.969 | $36.01 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 51 | $0.974 | $49.67 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | sell | 95.01 | $0.979 | $93.01 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 119.78 | $0.960 | $114.99 | Aug 17, 2024 |