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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 39.31K | $0.976 | $38.63K | +$265.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 24.08K | $0.970 | $23.35K | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 28.98K |
| $0.957 |
| $28.04K |
| +$302.95 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 18.7K | $0.944 | $18.69K | +$1.03K |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20.08K | $0.940 | $17.77K | -$1.1K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 18.92K | $0.879 | $17.69K | +$1.06K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.61K | $0.610 | $8.73K | -$3.24K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.46K | $0.883 | $4.94K | +$121.94 |
| buy |
| 4.26K |
| $0.890 |
| $3.79K |
| 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.977 | $1.47K | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.976 | $2.1K | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 35.66K | $0.976 | $34.8K | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.889 | $2.09K | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20.08K | $0.940 | $18.87K | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65K | $0.430 | $2K | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.11K | $0.878 | $2.73K | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.43K | $0.880 | $7.42K | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.24K | $0.870 | $5.43K | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.960 | $1.36K | 8d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 7K | $0.929 | $6.5K | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.720 | $2.88K | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.32K | $0.977 | $14.98K | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.960 | $1.34K | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 10.41K | $0.930 | $9.68K | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.920 | $1.07K | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.86K | $0.665 | $5.89K | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 18.1K | $0.995 | $18.01K | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.89K | $0.900 | $10.7K | 23d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 7.89K | $0.978 | $7.72K | 23d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.18K | $0.980 | $9K | 23d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.26K | $0.978 | $3.19K | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.740 | $1.22K | 23d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.49K | $0.860 | $3K | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.580 | $870 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.992 | $1.95K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 781.25 | $0.640 | $500 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.880 | $1.46K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.870 | $2.47K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.03K | $0.640 | $4.5K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.930 | $3.96K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.950 | $1.81K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 2.66K | $0.800 | $2.13K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 9.16K | $0.950 | $8.7K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | sell | 8.7K | $0.998 | $8.68K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.910 | $3.64K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.970 | $67.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 696.77 | $0.960 | $668.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.67K | $0.900 | $5.11K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 6.35K | $0.951 | $6.04K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 4.2K | $0.910 | $3.82K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.959 | $1.17K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 3.44K | $0.800 | $2.75K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.790 | $1.59K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 84.44 | $0.900 | $76 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.43K | $0.900 | $2.19K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 12.39K | $0.996 | $12.34K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.880 | $1.32K | Aug 7, 2026 |