Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 34.28 | $0.971 | $33.24 | -$0.07 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $20.57 |
| +$0.57 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 127.5 | $0.314 | $20.4 | -$19.6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 20.41 | $0.960 | $20.03 | +$0.44 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 54.96 | $0.320 | $15.66 | -$1.91 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 69.25 | $0.264 | $15.58 | -$2.67 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 15.25 | $0.920 | $14.11 | +$0.08 |
 Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.110 | $13.64 | -$6.36 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 155.4 | $0.100 | $13.21 | -$2.33 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 8.01 | $0.850 | $6.85 | +$0.04 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 50.02 | $0.145 | $6.75 | -$0.5 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 28.63 | $0.382 | $5.73 | -$5.2 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 87.5 | $0.080 | $5.69 | -$1.31 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.08 | $0.965 | $4.92 | +$0.02 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 5.05 | $0.950 | $4.85 | +$0.05 |
 Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.63 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 50%-55%? | No | 5.09 | $0.901 | $4.55 | -$0.04 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 44.45 | $0.090 | $4 | $0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 40.62 | $0.117 | $3.86 | -$0.88 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $3.5 | -$4.9 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 96 | $0.097 | $2.69 | -$6.66 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 15.22 | $0.100 | $2.59 | +$1.07 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.04 | $0.200 | $2.57 | -$1.24 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 32.95 | $0.064 | $2.14 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.032 |
| $1 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | 9h ago |
 Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.154 | $1 | 10h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | 11h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.7 | $0.130 | $0.87 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?No | sell | 21.42 | $0.060 | $1.29 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.070 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.130 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.130 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.130 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.76 | $0.130 | $2.31 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.66 | $0.130 | $3.21 | 2d ago |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.7 | $0.040 | $1.03 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.810 | $4.09 | 2d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.280 | $1.82 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 24.07 | $0.520 | $12.52 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 13.03 | $0.770 | $10.03 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.770 | $2.89 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.540 | $13 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 3d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.103 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.972 | $13.3 | 3d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.971 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 39.17 | $0.120 | $4.7 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.750 | $3.8 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.65 | $0.750 | $4.99 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.44 | $0.170 | $6.02 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.330 | $3.4 | 4d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.920 | $4.73 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.760 | $3.85 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 42.98 | $0.200 | $8.6 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 34.78 | $0.080 | $2.78 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.180 | $1.32 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.170 | $2.83 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.22 | $0.320 | $7.75 | 5d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.200 | $1.28 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 138.13 | $0.070 | $9.67 | 5d ago |