Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10.2 |
| $0.840 |
| $8.57 |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.999 | $7.68 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.380 | $2.6 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Zelenskyy | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 24?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.058 | $0.73 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.976 | $11.48 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.570 | $19 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 24?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.941 | $11.33 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.997 | $14.04 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 17.61 | $0.979 | $17.24 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "NATO" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 11.82 | $0.770 | $9.1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.260 | $3.25 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?$180 | sell | 12.34 | $0.999 | $12.33 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Sweden vs. USAUSA | buy | 13.24 | $0.680 | $9 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | sell | 13.69 | $0.720 | $9.86 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.41 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.999 | $15.85 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "NATO" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | sell | 32.48 | $0.350 | $11.37 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 23.17 | $0.820 | $19 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 25.42 | $0.730 | $18.56 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?$2500 | sell | 18.51 | $0.530 | $9.81 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "NATO" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 32.48 | $0.290 | $9.42 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?$180 | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.991 | $19.41 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.650 | $7.5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will DOGE cut $3B of DEI contracts before March?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.839 | $7.5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.650 | $3.95 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 iPhone SE 4 under $500?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.830 | $5.05 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?$2500 | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.999 | $18.49 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say ICE 5+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.962 | $26.72 | Feb 14, 2025 |