Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.224 | $346.82 | -$52.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 95.87 | $0.313 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 282.19 |
| $0.354 |
| $26.81 |
| -$73.19 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.450 | $15 | -$35 |
| buy |
| 48.4 |
| $0.620 |
| $30 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.224 | $399.61 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 33.63 | $0.993 | $33.39 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 347.22 | $0.138 | $47.92 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.570 | $60 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 361.03 | $0.277 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.998 | $498.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 33.64 | $0.580 | $19.51 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 250.45 | $0.399 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 368.57 | $0.180 | $66.34 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 490.26 | $0.271 | $132.78 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.190 | $242 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 888.82 | $0.137 | $121.44 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | sell | 587.73 | $0.205 | $120.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 888.82 | $0.161 | $143 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 587.74 | $0.238 | $140 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 506.98 | $0.552 | $280 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.58 | $0.500 | $75.79 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.94 | $0.310 | $75 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 39.44 | $0.076 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?Yes | buy | 617.4 | $0.032 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.014 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 347.22 | $0.144 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 368.57 | $0.136 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.043 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jan 5, 2026 |