Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.54 | $0.411 | $4.79 | +$0.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.920 | $2.12 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 119.6 |
| $0.033 |
| $3.17 |
| -$0.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.278 | $3.11 | -$2.85 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 28.92 | $0.137 | $1.59 | -$2.37 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | Yes | 31.32 | $0.064 | $1.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 15.56 | $0.129 | $1.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 64.52 | $0.031 | $1.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 28.17 | $0.071 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $0.98 | -$1.03 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 8.44 | $0.237 | $0.95 | -$1.05 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 12.25 | $0.160 | $0.94 | -$1.02 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 4.45 | $0.440 | $0.91 | -$1.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $0.87 | -$1.13 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $0.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | Yes | 3.38 | $0.580 | $0.79 | -$1.17 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 6.32 | $0.310 | $0.73 | -$1.23 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | Yes | 7.54 | $0.260 | $0.72 | -$1.24 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5.03 | $0.390 | $0.68 | -$1.28 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.94 | $0.330 | $0.56 | -$1.4 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.55 | -$1.46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.54 | -$1.46 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | Yes | 7.54 | $0.260 | $0.53 | -$1.43 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 17.13 | $0.117 | $0.52 | -$1.48 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.410 | $0.49 | -$1.51 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.53 | $0.300 | $0.49 | -$1.47 |
| sell |
| 22.79 |
| $0.144 |
| $3.28 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.730 | $3.17 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2.9 | $0.830 | $2.41 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.999 | $4.65 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.43 | $0.600 | $7.46 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.290 | $3.87 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.740 | $2.42 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.237 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.031 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.071 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.700 | $4.38 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.430 | $3.07 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Yes | buy | 42.17 | $0.047 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.44 | $0.200 | $4.89 | May 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.540 | $3.27 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.52 | $0.340 | $2.9 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 4.35 | $0.610 | $2.65 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.750 | $2.24 | May 9, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.32 | $0.064 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.13 | $0.117 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |