Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.986 | $49.78 | +$0.48 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.995 |
| $19.93 |
| +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 39.99 |
| $0.972 |
| $38.87 |
| 29d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.986 | $49.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.982 | $19.64 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.983 | $58.98 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.993 | $79.44 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.049 | $9.76 | May 11, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.070 | $9.45 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.974 | $68.18 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.977 | $25.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.976 | $39.04 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.895 | $53.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.952 | $95.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 190 | $0.270 | $51.3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.989 | $197.8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 800 | $0.989 | $791.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Wild vs. PenguinsWild | buy | 950 | $0.460 | $437 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Nets vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 1.6K | $0.900 | $1.44K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. CavaliersPacers | buy | 1.9K | $0.130 | $247 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. CavaliersPacers | buy | 4K | $0.130 | $520 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Kings vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 550 | $0.940 | $517 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Wizards vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 800 | $0.910 | $728 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets | buy | 1.3K | $0.890 | $1.16K | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Romania win on 2025-11-18?Yes | buy | 85.26 | $0.968 | $82.53 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-18?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-18?Yes | buy | 333.2 | $0.987 | $328.87 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-18?Yes | buy | 233.2 | $0.987 | $230.17 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Cowboys vs. RaidersCowboys | buy | 500 | $0.640 | $320 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Bucks vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 900 | $0.720 | $648 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 1K | $0.820 | $820 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Portugal win on 2025-11-16?No | buy | 800 | $0.070 | $56 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Kings vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 900 | $0.760 | $684 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Magic vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 900 | $0.760 | $684 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?No | buy | 100 | $0.931 | $93.07 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?No | buy | 300 | $0.931 | $279.3 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?No | buy | 316.21 | $0.926 | $292.81 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Raptors vs. PacersPacers | buy | 1K | $0.270 | $270 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Raptors vs. PacersPacers | buy | 1.3K | $0.270 | $351 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.173 | $6.06 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.805 | $44.28 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.940 | $32.89 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Aug 23, 2025 |