Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.08 | $0.820 | $11.63 | +$1.72 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.520 | $2.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 11.79 |
| $0.840 |
| $11.14 |
| +$1.24 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 11.79 | $0.840 | $11.08 | +$1.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.6 | $0.810 | $7.36 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 15.29 | $0.553 | $6.8 | -$1.66 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.420 | $4.04 | +$0.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.390 | $3.11 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.8 | $0.450 | $2.38 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.230 | $1.85 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.460 | $1.31 | -$0.07 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.620 | $1.18 | -$3.86 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 6.59 |
| $0.730 |
| $4.81 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19¢-19.5¢?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.710 | $8.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.53 | $0.271 | $1.77 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.270 | $1.84 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.989 | $9.9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.450 | $2.16 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 14.97 | $0.670 | $10.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.290 | $2.61 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.810 | $6.97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 15.29 | $0.553 | $8.46 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.340 | $3.91 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.643 | $4.94 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.660 | $8.71 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | May 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 13.03 | $0.760 | $9.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.840 | $9.9 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.35 | $0.698 | $10.01 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 14.78 | $0.670 | $9.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.820 | $9.91 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 36.68 | $0.270 | $9.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 12.54 | $0.790 | $9.91 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 10.65 | $0.926 | $9.86 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 13.08 | $0.757 | $9.9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.930 | $9.9 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 31.74 | $0.313 | $9.95 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.925 | $9.91 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.925 | $9.91 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 22.51 | $0.440 | $9.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.840 | $9.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.680 | $9.91 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.680 | $9.91 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.770 | $9.52 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 28.02 | $0.340 | $9.53 | Feb 2, 2026 |