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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.14 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.06 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.960 | $1.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.947 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.946 | $1.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.890 | $1.3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.920 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.990 | $1.36 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.979 | $1.44 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.910 | $1.33 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.997 | $1.37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.950 | $1.37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.945 | $1.18 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.980 | $1.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.940 | $1.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.953 | $1.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 20.18 | $0.740 | $14.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.820 | $12.34 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.42 | $0.860 | $10.68 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.62K | $0.001 | $10.62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.04K | $0.001 | $11.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.987 | $1.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.968 | $1.06 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.965 | $1.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.992 | $1.31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.983 | $1.05 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.995 | $1.38 | May 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.956 | $1.05 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.999 | $1.44 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.985 | $1.31 | May 21, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.954 | $1.11 | May 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.998 | $1.34 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.001 | $1.3 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.25K | $0.001 | $10.25 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.950 | $1.16 | May 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.929 | $1.24 | May 14, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.977 | $1.53 | May 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | sell | 8.11 | $0.995 | $8.07 | May 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.992 | $8.05 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.986 | $1.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.920 | $1.22 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.940 | $1.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.977 | $1.06 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.929 | $1.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.961 | $1.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.975 | $1.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |