Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 161.03 | $0.842 | $152.17 | +$16.54 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 9.78 | $0.930 | $9.1 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5.25 |
| +$0.25 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 3.26 | $0.920 | $2.98 | -$0.02 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 6.57 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.19 |
| 14d ago |
 Macron out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.39 | $0.927 | $3.14 | 14d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 75.77 | $0.930 | $70.47 | 14d ago |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.884 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 20.59 | $0.930 | $19.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 10.72 | $0.910 | $9.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.930 | $9.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.820 | $2.3 | May 9, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.900 | $9.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.999 | $2.89 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.996 | $6.15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.977 | $4.04 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.996 | $2.03 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of February?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.998 | $2.03 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 233.81 | $0.840 | $196.4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 201.85 | $0.973 | $196.4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 16.56 | $0.850 | $14.08 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.999 | $2.89 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.860 | $19.55 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.490 | $9.49 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 201.85 | $0.976 | $197.01 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.571 | $2.77 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.660 | $3.22 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.520 | $5.04 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.530 | $5.14 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 19.97 | $0.940 | $18.77 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.99 | $0.950 | $4.74 | Jan 19, 2026 |