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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 129.03 | $0.310 | $38.71 | -$1.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.12 | $0.515 | $15 | 21h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 121.21 |
| $0.330 |
| $34.55 |
| -$5.45 |
| buy |
| 102.48 |
| $0.390 |
| $40 |
| 21h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 241.57 | $0.981 | $236.98 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.57 | $0.911 | $220 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 129.03 | $0.310 | $40 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 188.93 | $0.975 | $184.22 | 9d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.69 | $0.775 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.740 | $60 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.16 | $0.506 | $35 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | 10d ago |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 152.5 | $0.393 | $60 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?Yes | sell | 82.97 | $0.102 | $8.46 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.040 | $5.22 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 117.4 | $0.090 | $10.57 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?Yes | buy | 82.97 | $0.362 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 117.4 | $0.341 | $40 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 94.31 | $0.386 | $36.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 94.31 | $0.371 | $35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.49 | $0.103 | $6.44 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.49 | $0.320 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | sell | 70.71 | $0.430 | $30.41 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 70.71 | $0.566 | $40 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 153.07 | $0.192 | $29.32 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.99 | $0.426 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.09 | $0.424 | $45 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.640 | $106.66 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.200 | $16.67 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 87.05 | $0.100 | $8.71 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.092 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.23 | $0.589 | $58.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.23 | $0.605 | $60 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 68.49 | $0.068 | $4.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.073 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.56 | $0.570 | $14 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 81.81 | $0.180 | $14.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.82 | $0.220 | $18 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 170.73 | $0.037 | $6.36 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 170.73 | $0.041 | $7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.84 | $0.500 | $18.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.04 | $0.458 | $38 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 121.87 | $0.190 | $23.16 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 124.16 | $0.119 | $14.78 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 124.17 | $0.193 | $24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.88 | $0.320 | $39 | Jan 21, 2026 |