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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes | 104.17 | $0.480 | $47.92 | -$2.08 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 37.04 |
| $0.540 |
| $19.44 |
| -$0.56 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 236.06 | $0.127 | $14.99 | -$15.01 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 72.05 | $0.278 | $14.77 | -$5.23 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 57.69 | $0.520 | $11.25 | -$18.75 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 98.12 | $0.306 | $9.32 | -$20.68 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | Yes | 203.92 | $0.122 | $8.87 | -$16.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 81.18 | $0.123 | $5.28 | -$4.72 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.260 | $2.79 | -$2.21 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $2.75 | -$7.25 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.380 | $2.57 | -$12.43 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 16.45 | $0.304 | $2.14 | -$2.86 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | Yes | 54.18 | $0.092 | $2.06 | -$2.94 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 15.15 | $0.330 | $2.05 | -$2.95 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 3.57 | $0.560 | $1.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 83.33 | $0.120 | $1.5 | -$8.5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $1.31 | -$8.69 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.48 | -$1.52 |
| buy |
| 104.17 |
| $0.480 |
| $50 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.45 | $0.304 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 31.64 | $0.588 | $18.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.88 | $0.825 | $41.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 125.25 | $0.240 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.71 | $0.308 | $15 | May 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 283.33 | $0.040 | $11.33 | May 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.250 | $7.35 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.100 | $3.7 | May 15, 2026 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | buy | 203.92 | $0.123 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | May 15, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 98.12 | $0.306 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.06 | $0.127 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
 Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.370 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.769 | $28.84 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.999 | $36.99 | May 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.33 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 129.74 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40.35 | $0.124 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |