Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 1?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.44 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.16 |
| +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 4.01 |
| $0.997 |
| $4 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 12.28 | $0.975 | $11.97 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.999 | $5.18 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 12.76 | $0.915 | $11.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 20.63 | $0.961 | $19.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 51.83 | $0.984 | $51 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 9.29 | $0.969 | $9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 11.62 | $0.947 | $11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.984 | $15 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $168 end of December?Yes | buy | 7.62 | $0.980 | $7.47 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $156 end of December?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.990 | $11 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | buy | 6.97 | $0.860 | $6 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 24?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.950 | $14 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.890 | $9 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 44.04 | $0.999 | $44 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 32.06 | $0.998 | $32 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 55.53 | $0.965 | $53.6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Dilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Egypt win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Madagascar win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Serbia win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Nazist" this week? (September 15-21)No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Tyler Robinson released by September 19?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 14.81 | $0.945 | $14 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.064 | $6.4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on July 21?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.999 | $1.44K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 3.06K | $0.995 | $3.05K | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.955 | $6 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 2.77K | $0.997 | $2.76K | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.935 | $7 | Jun 14, 2025 |