Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $7.86 | -$2.14 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 125.75 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 125 |
| $0.080 |
| $5.63 |
| -$4.38 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $5.58 | -$14.42 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 87.72 | $0.057 | $1.18 | -$3.82 |
| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $10 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 113.64 | $0.220 | $25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp | buy | 67.57 | $0.370 | $25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 82.54 | $0.061 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 54 | $0.093 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 15.49 | $0.323 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?Yes | buy | 294.68 | $0.034 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?Yes | buy | 466.11 | $0.021 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 662.28 | $0.030 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 149.48 | $0.067 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.139 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.5 | $0.198 | $45 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 596.99 | $0.168 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | buy | 40.8 | $0.230 | $9.38 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes | buy | 264.05 | $0.053 | $13.86 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.54K | $0.012 | $30 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 380.77 | $0.130 | $49.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.054 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 732.53 | $0.027 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |