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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.670 | $1.12 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.45 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.31 |
| Aug 19, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before April?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.963 | $1.3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.740 | $1.03 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.940 | $1.74 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.940 | $1.27 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.969 | $1.85 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.680 | $1.14 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.840 | $1.22 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.890 | $1.15 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Roaring Kitty charged in 2024?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.979 | $1.29 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.996 | $1.19 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.971 | $1.22 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.850 | $1.15 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.990 | $1.06 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 0.64 | $0.950 | $0.61 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Lunchly recall in 2024?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.920 | $0.58 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 X drops antitrust case in 2024?No | buy | 0.4 | $0.930 | $0.37 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.964 | $0.28 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.978 | $0.57 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.971 | $1.16 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 0.99 | $0.860 | $0.85 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.9 | $0.920 | $0.83 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.920 | $0.33 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?No | buy | 0.71 | $0.550 | $0.39 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Who will raise more in September?Harris | buy | 0.44 | $0.982 | $0.43 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.975 | $0.16 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.975 | $0.24 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.119 | $0.16 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.910 | $0.27 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.961 | $0.24 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?Yes | buy | 0.61 | $0.710 | $0.43 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?Yes | buy | 0.51 | $0.700 | $0.36 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.953 | $1.02 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.950 | $0.16 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Gina Raimondo Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.010 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.024 | $0.28 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.070 | $0.21 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.004 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.972 | $1.08 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.860 | $1.36 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran in August?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.810 | $1.14 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.005 | $0.14 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 9.24 | $0.011 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.006 | $0.19 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $50k by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.76 | $0.210 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 10.43K | $0.001 | $10.43 | Aug 6, 2024 |