Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 83.38 | $0.820 | $68.37 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 277.5 |
| $0.650 |
| $180.38 |
| 16d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 215.02 | $0.820 | $176.32 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 365.71 | $0.780 | $285.25 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 303.29 | $0.940 | $285.09 | 18d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 570.13 | $0.996 | $567.85 | 26d ago |
 LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers | buy | 567.84 | $0.999 | $567.27 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.42 | $0.997 | $24.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 539.57 | $0.996 | $537.41 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 322.16 | $0.880 | $283.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 285.97 | $0.991 | $283.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 136.85 | $0.998 | $136.58 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 875.38 | $0.998 | $873.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 875.38 | $0.999 | $874.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 136.85 | $0.997 | $136.44 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 994.71 | $0.999 | $993.72 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | buy | 980.8 | $0.998 | $978.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 978.83 | $0.999 | $977.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Marcos Llorente be in Spain's Starting 11?Yes | buy | 136.79 | $0.999 | $136.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 977.72 | $0.999 | $976.74 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 951.35 | $0.999 | $950.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 477.39 | $0.984 | $469.75 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 941 | $0.999 | $940.06 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 941 | $0.998 | $939.12 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 938.58 | $0.967 | $907.61 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 457.43 | $0.952 | $435.47 | May 13, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?No | buy | 139.97 | $0.984 | $137.73 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.38 | $0.969 | $45.91 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.38 | $0.969 | $45.91 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 36.6 | $0.983 | $35.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 388.62 | $0.999 | $388.23 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 691.91 | $0.998 | $690.53 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Yes | buy | 90.81 | $0.999 | $90.72 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No | buy | 154.15 | $0.999 | $154 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No | buy | 37.91 | $0.998 | $37.83 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will "STEEL BALL RUN JoJo's Bizarre Adventure" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.930 | $10.16 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "Age of Attraction" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 91.25 | $0.990 | $90.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 0.92 | $0.990 | $0.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 115.8 | $0.956 | $110.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 31.17 | $0.995 | $31.01 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.925 | $46.25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.936 | $46.8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 40 | $0.839 | $33.56 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 28.38 | $0.995 | $28.24 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.38 | $0.994 | $28.21 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 28.22 | $0.995 | $28.08 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No | buy | 27.46 | $0.989 | $27.16 | Dec 25, 2025 |