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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 14.78 | $0.670 | $13.82 | +$3.92 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.93 |
| $0.830 |
| $11.47 |
| +$1.57 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 12.08 | $0.820 | $11.36 | +$1.45 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.79 | $0.840 | $11.14 | +$1.24 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 10.13 | $0.770 | $9.47 | +$1.67 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 17.85 | $0.560 | $8.84 | -$1.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.22 | $0.580 | $7.47 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.470 | $7.43 | +$0.38 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 11.44 | $0.610 | $7.38 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 9.37 | $0.750 | $6.66 | -$0.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.220 | $2.75 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.93 | $0.410 | $2.73 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.59 | $0.310 | $2.73 | -$0.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.190 | $1.45 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.95 | $0.560 | $1.31 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.16 | -$0.34 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.84 | -$0.48 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.270 | $0.59 | -$1.04 |
| buy |
| 8.55 |
| $0.380 |
| $3.25 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.410 | $3.33 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.280 | $1.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.716 | $8.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes | buy | 11.16 | $0.700 | $7.81 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.410 | $3.25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.280 | $1.85 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.72 | $0.244 | $1.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.560 | $1.65 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.770 | $7.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.750 | $1.9 | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.610 | $6.98 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 5.06 | $0.800 | $4.05 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No | buy | 13.1 | $0.400 | $5.24 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.630 | $4.64 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.350 | $4.41 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.750 | $7.03 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.460 | $4.83 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.580 | $7.67 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.600 | $5.49 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.620 | $5.67 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 5.85 | $0.190 | $1.11 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.390 | $5.03 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.98 | $0.240 | $3.12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.860 | $13.43 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.280 | $2.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |