Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 160.01 | $0.209 | $24.8 | -$8.6 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | sell | 140 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 116.78 |
| $0.300 |
| $15.76 |
| -$19.24 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 216.59 | $0.163 | $10.83 | -$24.43 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 8 | $0.373 | $4.4 | +$1.42 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.060 | $2.66 | -$2.75 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.035 | $2.3 | +$0.55 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.090 | $1.95 | -$0.75 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.012 | $1.17 | +$0.09 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.026 | $0.18 | -$0.86 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $0.18 | -$1.83 |
| sell |
| 79.99 |
| $0.190 |
| $15.2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.470 | $28.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 80 | $0.390 | $31.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 98.46 | $0.620 | $61.05 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 60 | $0.390 | $23.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.130 | $9.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.129 | $1.19 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.505 | $11.11 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.014 | $1.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.42 | $0.310 | $3.54 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.031 | $0.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.090 | $7.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.077 | $0.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.421 | $21.05 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.579 | $8.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.194 | $1.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.228 | $6.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.581 | $8.72 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.290 | $11.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.079 | $4.01 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.373 | $11.19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.012 | $0.36 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.159 | $4.77 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.188 | $5.64 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.201 | $8.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |