Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.070 | $300 | Feb 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.75K |
| $0.080 |
| $300 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.180 | $600 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.52K | $0.043 | $240 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.063 | $242 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 162.16 | $0.037 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.76K | $0.037 | $250 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.120 | $180 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.210 | $504 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 570 | $0.930 | $530.1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 570 | $0.450 | $256.5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.080 | $392 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.032 | $2.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.170 | $9.35 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.170 | $578.51 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.180 | $126 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.090 | $180 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 397.29 | $0.310 | $123.16 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Apr 9, 2025 |