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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | 19d ago |
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| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.999 |
| $2 |
| 19d ago |
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | 19d ago |
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | 19d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 23?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | 19d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 23?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.999 | $4.03 | 19d ago |
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 19d ago |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.920 | $1.02 | 19d ago |
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.998 | $5.91 | 19d ago |
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | 19d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.998 | $6.04 | 19d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.999 | $7.1 | 19d ago |
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.96 | $0.995 | $7.92 | 19d ago |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 19d ago |
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.996 | $9 | 19d ago |
Will "Don’t Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.859 | $1.03 | 19d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.998 | $3.93 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.960 | $1.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.990 | $2.97 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.991 | $2.97 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on June 21?No | sell | 9 | $0.996 | $8.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on June 21?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 4?No | sell | 4 | $0.996 | $3.98 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 4?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.995 | $5.1 | May 3, 2026 |
Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.999 | $4.13 | May 3, 2026 |
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.998 | $6.2 | May 3, 2026 |
Spread: Reilac Shiga (-1.5)Roasso Kumamoto | buy | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | May 3, 2026 |
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?No | sell | 3 | $0.995 | $2.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.996 | $4.05 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Pierre Chain win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.998 | $4.05 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Pierre Chain win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.999 | $5.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Game Handicap: UUG (-2.5) vs WST (+2.5)WST | buy | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?Yes | sell | 6.16 | $0.996 | $6.14 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.997 | $7.22 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.997 | $7.34 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.998 | $8.43 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on March 22?No | sell | 9.46 | $0.997 | $9.43 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on March 22?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.998 | $10.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 22?No | sell | 10.5 | $0.998 | $10.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 22?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.999 | $11.53 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.996 | $1.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.997 | $2.09 | Feb 23, 2026 |