Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 288.46 | $0.520 | $21.63 | -$128.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.025 | $3.29 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 250 |
| $0.060 |
| $14.12 |
| -$0.87 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 193.44 | $0.015 | $5.9 | +$2.9 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.017 | $3.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 236.25 | $0.156 | $2.36 | -$34.52 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $0.89 | -$2.11 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 113.64 | $0.220 | $0.51 | -$24.49 |
| sell |
| 56.25 |
| $0.290 |
| $16.31 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | May 3, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 14.86 | $0.913 | $13.57 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.67 | $0.075 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 89.46 | $0.056 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 114.12 | $0.219 | $25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 14.86 | $0.673 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No | sell | 78.12 | $0.630 | $49.22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.410 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 288.46 | $0.520 | $150 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 91.74 | $0.218 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 130.18 | $0.998 | $129.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.995 | $20.73 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.074 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.066 | $15.74 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 34.43 | $0.129 | $4.44 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 26.27 | $0.051 | $1.34 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 99.02 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | sell | 16.63 | $0.381 | $6.33 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.052 | $1.4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 97.91 | $0.051 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 14.26 | $0.603 | $8.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 71.74 | $0.529 | $37.96 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 39.8 | $0.502 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.55 | $0.800 | $13.24 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 46.27 | $0.432 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?Yes | sell | 27.12 | $0.710 | $19.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | sell | 12.21 | $0.460 | $5.62 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 68.42 | $0.438 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.712 | $35.61 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | sell | 16.27 | $0.460 | $7.48 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.071 | $7.07 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | sell | 65.1 | $0.460 | $29.95 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.640 | $28.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |