Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.416 | $10 | 16d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 33.33 |
| $0.730 |
| $24.33 |
| 25d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 28.65 | $0.999 | $28.62 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 28.65 | $0.349 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 58.46 | $0.070 | $4.09 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 31.42 | $0.190 | $5.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.109 | $2.31 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?Down | buy | 41.63 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 58.46 | $0.257 | $15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 31.43 | $0.350 | $11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.900 | $52.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.680 | $40 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.007 | $1.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 51.51 | $0.670 | $34.51 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 51.51 | $0.388 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.34 | $0.673 | $21.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.34 | $0.670 | $21 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.76 | $0.203 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 53.26 | $0.789 | $42.02 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.751 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 39.95 | $0.751 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.037 | $0.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 95.23 | $0.131 | $12.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 156.8 | $0.186 | $29.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 7.99 | $0.626 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.43 | $0.180 | $3.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.140 | $5.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.452 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | sell | 174.41 | $0.050 | $8.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | buy | 174.42 | $0.086 | $15 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | sell | 13.69 | $0.986 | $13.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.789 | $7.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 7, 2026 |