Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 630 | $0.017 | $10.71 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 24.33 |
| $0.440 |
| $10.71 |
| Apr 29, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.33 | $0.450 | $10.95 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | sell | 36.51 | $0.300 | $10.95 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 66.5 | $0.080 | $5.32 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on May 1?Yes | sell | 53.16 | $0.100 | $5.32 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 36.52 | $0.330 | $12.05 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Trump approval >45% on May 1?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 118.25 | $0.080 | $9.46 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Trump approval >45% on May 1?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.100 | $1.29 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.022 | $1.29 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.32 | $0.190 | $3.1 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.610 | $10.21 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 16.73 | $0.610 | $10.21 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.610 | $10.21 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.710 | $10.21 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.700 | $4.76 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.22 | $0.390 | $4.77 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.21 | $0.380 | $4.64 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.05 | $0.400 | $4.42 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.37 | $0.380 | $5.08 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.75 | $0.400 | $10.7 | Mar 24, 2025 |