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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.360 | $0.04 | -$0.13 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.48 |
| $0.063 |
| $0.04 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.36 | $0.052 | $0 | -$0.02 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.019 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.952 |
| $28.56 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.019 | $0.38 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.16 | $0.053 | $0.38 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?No | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.018 | $0.43 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 87.99 | $0.044 | $3.87 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 194 | $0.640 | $124.16 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 700 | $0.740 | $518 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 22?Yes | sell | 8.61 | $0.027 | $0.23 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 22?Yes | sell | 40.61 | $0.050 | $2.03 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 12.25 | $0.890 | $10.9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 37.75 | $0.910 | $34.35 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.23 | $0.860 | $7.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.066 | $1.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.961 | $19.22 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No | sell | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47.67 | $0.870 | $41.47 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 643.1 | $0.870 | $559.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Megaquake by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.954 | $19.08 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.967 | $19.34 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 231.04 | $0.150 | $34.66 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?No | sell | 670 | $0.060 | $40.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?No | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 399.88 | $0.230 | $91.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 246.29 | $0.240 | $59.11 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.01 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?No | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 678 | $0.840 | $569.52 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 22 | $0.840 | $18.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 695 | $0.400 | $278.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.650 | $1.42 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | sell | 157 | $0.670 | $105.19 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?No | sell | 11.61 | $0.230 | $2.67 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.240 | $2.01 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?No | sell | 26.95 | $0.060 | $1.62 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?No | sell | 23.05 | $0.070 | $1.61 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 381.23 | $0.941 | $358.74 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 159.38 | $0.941 | $149.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |