Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Diddy released from custody before December?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 0.06 |
| $0.360 |
| $0.02 |
| Nov 24, 2024 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.410 | $0.03 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.790 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 X and Truth Social merger announced before August?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.200 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will 'Red One' gross less than $18m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.070 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.940 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Kristi Noem confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.150 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.105 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.650 | $0.02 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.870 | $0.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.009 | $0.03 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.720 | $0.03 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.920 | $0.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Peter Deutsch for Israeli Ambassador?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.900 | $0.03 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.090 | $0.03 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Balaji Srinivasan for FDA Commissioner?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.880 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?No | buy | 0.09 | $0.230 | $0.02 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.150 | $0.02 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 2.86 | $0.014 | $0.04 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.022 | $0.03 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.035 | $0.04 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)Begich | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.027 | $0.04 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Young Thug released by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.450 | $0.03 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Diddy?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.028 | $0.04 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.150 | $0.06 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.5 | $0.100 | $0.05 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.580 | $0.06 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will the October 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.17°C?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Megaquake in October?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.61 | $0.049 | $0.03 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Megaquake in October?Yes | buy | 0.83 | $0.024 | $0.02 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.011 | $0.03 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.012 | $0.03 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.038 | $0.02 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.09 | $0.230 | $0.02 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.290 | $0.04 | Oct 25, 2024 |