Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 355.79 | $0.122 | $316.65 | +$273.32 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.995 |
| $29.96 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.981 | $24.96 | +$0.44 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 22 | $0.950 | $21.45 | +$0.55 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 22 | $0.840 | $20.79 | +$2.31 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 15 | $0.910 | $13.82 | +$0.17 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.079 | $2.12 | -$1.82 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.813 | $1.78 | -$6.35 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 100 | $0.014 | $1.55 | +$0.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 36.85 | $0.140 | $1.44 | -$3.72 |
| buy |
| 94.03 |
| $0.015 |
| $1.39 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.993 | $11.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.981 | $24.53 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | buy | 22.3 | $0.969 | $21.61 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 47.59 | $0.996 | $47.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.980 | $23.52 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.973 | $14.59 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.955 | $21.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.840 | $18.48 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.16 | $0.946 | $24.75 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 210.13 | $0.130 | $27.32 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.991 | $31.7 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?Yes | buy | 172.52 | $0.002 | $0.35 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.950 | $20.9 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 36.85 | $0.140 | $5.16 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 402.38 | $0.003 | $1.21 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 14.21 | $0.985 | $14 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.44 | $0.933 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.89 | $0.110 | $6.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 34.01 | $0.993 | $33.77 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 74.4 | $0.017 | $1.26 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 584.14 | $0.002 | $1.17 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?No | buy | 21.9 | $0.994 | $21.77 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 33.47 | $0.991 | $33.17 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.993 | $23.16 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.986 | $24.65 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?No | sell | 63.15 | $0.995 | $62.83 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.974 | $17.53 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 59.51 | $0.030 | $1.79 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.984 | $39.36 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.971 | $21.36 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 34 | $0.997 | $33.9 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 34 | $0.990 | $33.66 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 42.65 | $0.110 | $4.69 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Aspinall vs. GaneGane | buy | 16.69 | $0.230 | $3.84 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.83 | $0.976 | $23.26 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.960 | $16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?No | buy | 18.08 | $0.996 | $18 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 53.7 | $0.985 | $52.89 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 58.51 | $0.980 | $57.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?No | buy | 15.73 | $0.940 | $14.79 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.985 | $12 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.91 | $0.880 | $14 | Sep 6, 2025 |