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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.940 | $6.21 | Dec 3, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 13.96 |
| $0.985 |
| $13.75 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.97 | $0.993 | $18.84 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 202.25 | $0.440 | $88.99 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 100.78 | $0.993 | $100.07 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 99.93 | $0.998 | $99.73 | Jun 18, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 155.26 | $0.019 | $2.95 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 99.9 | $0.996 | $99.5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 99.91 | $0.997 | $99.61 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 77.49 | $0.996 | $77.18 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 77.49 | $0.997 | $77.26 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 92.91 | $0.997 | $92.63 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 92.92 | $0.998 | $92.73 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 105.04 | $0.997 | $104.72 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.997 | $1.27 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 105.05 | $0.997 | $104.73 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 101.59 | $0.995 | $101.08 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 101.6 | $0.996 | $101.19 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 88.62 | $0.994 | $88.09 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 88.62 | $0.996 | $88.27 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 88.16 | $0.997 | $87.9 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $210 in May?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.999 | $3.65 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 88.17 | $0.998 | $87.99 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.995 | $8.54 | May 27, 2025 |
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 103.22 | $0.992 | $102.39 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.999 | $5.29 | May 26, 2025 |
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 103.22 | $0.993 | $102.5 | May 22, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 88.54 | $0.993 | $87.92 | May 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 8.54 | $0.998 | $8.52 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 88.54 | $0.994 | $88.01 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.999 | $7.06 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 83.22 | $0.999 | $83.14 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.989 | $7.69 | May 12, 2025 |
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 88.14 | $0.994 | $87.61 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 88.14 | $0.995 | $87.7 | May 10, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.999 | $2.58 | May 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 75.75 | $0.983 | $74.46 | May 7, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.979 | $2.58 | May 4, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | May 1, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 92.16 | $0.999 | $92.07 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.998 | $3.95 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 92.16 | $0.998 | $91.98 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 96.04 | $0.991 | $95.19 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 96.05 | $0.997 | $95.76 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 42.47 | $0.994 | $42.22 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 60.28 | $0.997 | $60.1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will the Giants draft Mason Graham?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.996 | $5.07 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 42.47 | $0.995 | $42.26 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 60.28 | $0.998 | $60.16 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 81.09 | $0.998 | $80.93 | Apr 21, 2025 |