Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 6.82 | $0.440 | $2.42 | -$0.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.206 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.43 |
| $0.140 |
| $3 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.68 | $0.500 | $1.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.28 | $0.230 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 8.96 | $0.220 | $1.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.105 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 28.87 | $0.992 | $28.64 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.62 | $0.580 | $5.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 8.37 | $0.430 | $3.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.420 | $2.26 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.989 | $1.35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.910 | $1.24 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.174 | $2 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.177 | $3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.720 | $4.32 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.710 | $5.68 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | buy | 20.44 | $0.734 | $15 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.170 | $2.21 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.140 | $3.08 | Nov 24, 2025 |