Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.988 | $1.27K | Mar 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.26K |
| $0.998 |
| $1.26K |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.999 | $1.26K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWeibo Gaming | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 105.26 | $0.992 | $104.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.991 | $1.02K | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.971 | $11 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.998 | $1.05K | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.999 | $1.15K | Jan 24, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.985 | $1.13K | Dec 23, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.966 | $1.19K | Nov 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.960 | $1.14K | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.980 | $1.12K | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.961 | $1.07K | Oct 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.962 | $1.07K | Oct 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.964 | $1.08K | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.950 | $1.08K | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.951 | $1.08K | Oct 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.997 | $1.08K | Oct 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.995 | $1.08K | Sep 24, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.15 | $0.820 | $68.18 | Jun 30, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 15.13 | $0.961 | $14.54 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.993 | $14.44 | Jan 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.995 | $50 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.823 | $1.2 | Dec 21, 2024 |