Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.991 | $1.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.31 |
| $0.992 |
| $5.27 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.350 | $0 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.978 | $0.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.993 | $1.66 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.2 | $0.005 | $0.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.997 | $9.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No | sell | 3.04 | $0.997 | $3.03 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No | sell | 3.86 | $0.997 | $3.85 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.997 | $5.45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | sell | 4.07 | $0.997 | $4.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 5.54 | $0.960 | $5.32 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.996 | $5.07 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.991 | $10.37 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.991 | $5.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.110 | $0 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.170 | $0.39 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.993 | $0.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.982 | $2.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.974 | $6.27 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.900 | $6.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.850 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.937 | $1.01 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.923 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.180 | $1.06 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 0.97 | $0.880 | $0.85 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.880 | $0.15 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.800 | $1.05 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.750 | $0.32 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.750 | $0.43 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.750 | $0.24 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.750 | $0.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |