Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.58 | -$0.43 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 63.09 | $0.220 | $13.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 53.33 |
| $0.180 |
| $9.6 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.290 | $1.1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.097 | $1.12 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar win 2 Grammys?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 18.35 | $0.109 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will "30 for 30 - SZA featuring Kendrick Lamar" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.510 | $8.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.190 | $4.52 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.230 | $2.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Kanye West release an album in 2026?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.133 | $0.81 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes | sell | 29.21 | $0.310 | $9.06 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Very Respected" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Wife" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Governor" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.264 | $3.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (February 1)Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1)Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.12 | $0.403 | $6.89 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.530 | $8.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 45.92 | $0.044 | $2.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.12 | $0.292 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Yes | buy | 45.73 | $0.328 | $15 | Jan 26, 2026 |